Most Likely Paths to Electoral College Victory for the Libertarian and Green Party Presidential Nominees in 2020

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Note:

Libertarians had more support in 2016 in California than they did in

Delaware, Nevada, Vermont, and West Virginia

(by percentage of the popular vote in each state).

The map above does not reflect that fact, because

it is extremely unlikely that the Libertarian Party would take California

away from the Democrats; furthermore, that would require a landslide.

It would only require a smaller plurality of Electoral College votes,

for the Libertarian Party nominee to win.

That would require winning Delaware, Nevada, Vermont, and West Virginia,

but winning California would not be necessary.

The Libertarian Party nominee could still receive the most votes in the Electoral College

if the candidate were to win California, but not the other four states mentioned above.

Source:

http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/

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Source:

http://editions.lib.umn.edu/smartpolitics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2016/12/jillstein2016.png

Images created and published on August 21st, 2020