Six Ties and Near-Ties That Could Be the Outcome of the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

 

Originally published on November 6th, 2020

Most Likely Path to Electoral College Victory for Howie Hawkins and the Green Party

     The map below shows what I believe is the Green Party's most likely path to victory in the Electoral College in 2020.

     This map assumes that Hawkins will win most of the states in which the Green Party currently has ballot access for the November 3rd, 2020 election. Of those states, the states which supported Jill Stein the least in 2016, are assumed to have too weak a level of support for the Green Party, to muster a Hawkins victory. The map also assumes that it will be easier for Hawkins to win write-in campaigns in Kansas and Wisconsin, than it will be to win the State of Texas.

     The map was created on http://www.270towin.com/.

Click to enlarge

     Sources used to create the map above:

     Green Party ballot access, 2020:
     http://howiehawkins.us/ballotaccess/

     Support for Jill Stein in each state, 2016:
     http://www.google.com/search?q=2016+jill+stein+results&safe=off&sxsrf=ALeKk00dCSbtI8hvpS7CgOL_vATK7xDo_g:1600319190175&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiC4O3Gte_rAhUFKa0KHdJOAAAQ_AUoAXoECBEQAw&biw=1396&bih=686#imgrc=g1Q0KNCKDQdr8M

Map Created, and Article Published,

on September 17th, 2020